Time Series Prediction Based on Chaotic Attractor

A new prediction technique is proposed for chaotic time series. The usefulness of the technique is thatit can kick off some false neighbor points which are not suitable for the local estimation of the dynamics systems. Atime-delayed embedding is used to reconstruct the underlying attractor, and the prediction model is based on the timeevolution of the topological neighboring in the phase space. We use a feedforward neural network to approximate thelocal dominant Lyapunov exponent, and choose the spatial neighbors by the Lyapunov exponent. The model is testedfor the Mackey-Glass equation and the convection amplitude of lorenz systems. The results indicate that this predictiontechnique can improve the prediction of chaotic time series.     

ON THE ACOUSTIC ABSORPTION OF MULTI-LAYER ABSORBERS WITH DIFFERENT INNER STRUCTURES

A rigorous finite element analysis procedure is developed to study the effect of the inner structures on the acoustic absorption of multi-layer absorbers. To do this, four types of basic inner structure compartments adopted in the multi-layer absorbers are selected for analysis. These compartments are composed of porous materials inlaid with perforated plates of various shapes, say, triangle, semicircle, convex rectangle and plate shapes. As it is different from the conventional finite element analysis for the acoustic system in the literature, the perforated plates are simulated by appropriate equivalent boundary conditions, depending on their thickness, hole radius, hole pitch and porosity and the air contained in the holes. A large number of total degrees of freedom generated from meshing the air in the holes of perforated plates are thus avoided. The results reveal that the inner structures of the multi-layer absorbers will influence the acoustic absorption at some frequency bands significantly. Based on those features, the multi-layer absorber with a novel inner structure is then designed and manufactured. Both the finite element and experimental results show that its acoustic absorption would be distinctly promoted.     

CFD在燃煤细粒子凝聚过程中的应用

燃煤产生的细粒子富集了大量的有毒痕量元素,对大气环境和人类健康造成严重危害。本文针对燃煤细粒子的形成过程,在计算流体力学(CFD)的基础上,结合气溶胶动力学理论,模拟了烟气中细粒子在圆柱形流场中由于碰撞而凝聚的过程,并通过计算结果分析细粒子颗粒特征参量(速度、质量、直径和颗粒数目)随流场的变化趋势,为深入研究燃煤细粒子的形成演化机理提供理论基础。     

声诱饵仿真试验系统

文章介绍了声诱饵仿真试验系统中的有关问题，包括：系统的组成、工作原理、对接装置结构等。建立了对接装置声耦合状态下的数学模型，对近场声压分布进行了仿真计算，得出了匹配材料厚度、发射和接收换能器的选取原则。     

乌桕类可可脂结晶过程中表现体积变化

为了解乌桕类可可脂(CTCBE)缓冷结晶横向胀罐爆裂原因，研究CTCBE结晶过程中的膨胀特性，采用流体静力法测试了不同等温结晶条件下CTCBE结晶形成的表观密度和表观体积及其横纵向膨胀状况。结果表明，CTCBE缓冷结晶后形成外部和中部两个晶区。在5-25℃的各等温结晶范围内，当结晶温度增加时，外部结晶区域减小、表观密度变化不大；中部结晶区域增大、表观密度明显减小，CTCBE的表观体积、横向、纵向膨胀率均增大，膨胀横向大于纵向。进一步表明CTCBE在自然缓冷固化的表观体积根本上由其结晶温度决定。为有效防止横向胀罐，自然缓冷固化温度应低于10℃。     

一种微穿孔板消声器

本文根据马大猷教授提出的“微穿孔板吸声体精确理论”，在对微穿孔板消声器结构参数与吸声特性之间的相互影响进行了分析的基础上，设计了微穿孔板消声器并将其应用在新舟60飞机APU(辅助动力装置)降噪的实际工程中，并通过编写的噪音数据采集分析程序，对降噪效果进行了测试和分析，验证出微穿孔板消声器对消除飞机的APU的排气噪声具有良好的消声效果，平均降噪7．16dB。     

碱蓝6B共振光散射法检测DNA

研究了碱蓝 6B与脱氧核糖核酸在酸性条件下共振光散射特征 ,考察了影响因素和最佳反应条件 ,建立了一种测定纳克级DNA的方法。在四硼酸钠 盐酸 (pH =2 90 )缓冲溶液中 ,线性范围为 10～ 10 0 4 μg·L- 1 ,相关系数为 0 9913,检出限为 4 2 μg·L- 1 ,用于合成样品的测定结果令人满意。     

具有可调紫外滤光性能的富勒烯胺/壳聚糖共混膜的研究

通过溶液共混及流涎成膜法制备了一系列不同C60乙醇胺含量的壳聚糖共混膜。以及含Cu（Ⅱ）的C60乙醇胺/壳聚糖共混膜。研究表明，C60乙醇胺/壳聚糖共混膜具有优异的可调紫外滤光性能，随着C60乙醇胺含量的增加，其紫外滤光波长从200nm红移至400nm左右。在该复合体系中引入Cu（Ⅱ）能有效改善膜的紫外光学性能，同时还初步探讨了这类复合材料的紫外滤光机制。     

一类流行病数学模型解的研究

该文讨论了一类非线性抛物型方程组解的性质，利用微分方程上、下解方法证明了初值适当小时，方程存在整体解；初值适当大时，解在有限时间上爆破，推广了文献[1]的结果．     

组合DEA方法与成熟度模型对项目效益的评价

为全面考虑资金、管理决策能力等因素对项目效益的影响，本运用数据包络分析与项目成熟度模型结合的方法来对企业各个项目之间的相对效益进行评价，应用结果表明该评价方法对于企业资源的最优配置、提高总体效益是十分有用的。